Millions more votes from California, Harris and Trump will both get 40% more votes than they have now by the time counting is complete. That’s 2.9 million for Harris and 1.9 for Trump. Completely changes the graph. Harris lost something like 5-10% of Biden electorate and Trump gained a few percent of his. Still bad for Harris but doesn’t support the narrative this chart wants to be true.
40% more votes than they have now is 28 million votes each. There is definitely not 56 million more votes to count. At best there’s about a million more left to count. Over 150 million votes have already been counted. That’s just about the vast majority of votes cast
Sorry if I was unclear, I was just speaking to California, which is the only state with a significant number of votes left to count. Last I checked nationally we were at 95% counted.
As of 10:30am ET on November 11, populous states that have counted less than 95% of the expected votes include:
California (72% counted): current count is 7.27 million to 4.79 million.
Washington (91% counted): 2.07 million to 1.39 million.
Maryland (86%): 1.66 million to 0.97 million.
Oregon (87%): 1.16 million to 0.86 million.
Colorado (94%): 1.69 million to 1.34 million
Arizona (92%): 1.47 million to 1.65 million
New Jersey (94%): 2.14 million to 1.91 million
Just eyeballing those, and a few other smaller states with a significant number left to count, it looks like we can probably expect a few million more Harris votes to be added, and maybe another million or two Trump votes to be added.
So a quick eyeball estimate is that the 2020 minus 2024 gap should probably shrink by about half when it’s all counted.
I mean most states have less than 1% of votes left to count. What change are you expecting from this graph?
Millions more votes from California, Harris and Trump will both get 40% more votes than they have now by the time counting is complete. That’s 2.9 million for Harris and 1.9 for Trump. Completely changes the graph. Harris lost something like 5-10% of Biden electorate and Trump gained a few percent of his. Still bad for Harris but doesn’t support the narrative this chart wants to be true.
40% more votes than they have now is 28 million votes each. There is definitely not 56 million more votes to count. At best there’s about a million more left to count. Over 150 million votes have already been counted. That’s just about the vast majority of votes cast
Sorry if I was unclear, I was just speaking to California, which is the only state with a significant number of votes left to count. Last I checked nationally we were at 95% counted.
As of 10:30am ET on November 11, populous states that have counted less than 95% of the expected votes include:
Just eyeballing those, and a few other smaller states with a significant number left to count, it looks like we can probably expect a few million more Harris votes to be added, and maybe another million or two Trump votes to be added.
So a quick eyeball estimate is that the 2020 minus 2024 gap should probably shrink by about half when it’s all counted.