Deleted@lemmy.dbzer0.com to Asklemmy@lemmy.mlEnglish · edit-21 year agoDeletedmessage-squaremessage-square57fedilinkarrow-up118arrow-down12file-text
arrow-up116arrow-down1message-squareDeletedDeleted@lemmy.dbzer0.com to Asklemmy@lemmy.mlEnglish · edit-21 year agomessage-square57fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareFlowVoid@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up2·1 year agoIt’s much easier if you reframe the problem: Someone says they’ve built a machine that can perfectly predict what you will do. Do you believe them? If so, take one box. If not, take both boxes.
minus-squareCoderKat@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 year agoBut even if you don’t believe them, it’s got a 50% chance on a coin toss.
minus-squareFlowVoid@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up1·1 year agoRegardless of whether the machine is right, if you don’t believe it can perfectly predict what you’ll do then taking both boxes is always better than just one.
It’s much easier if you reframe the problem:
Someone says they’ve built a machine that can perfectly predict what you will do. Do you believe them?
If so, take one box.
If not, take both boxes.
But even if you don’t believe them, it’s got a 50% chance on a coin toss.
Regardless of whether the machine is right, if you don’t believe it can perfectly predict what you’ll do then taking both boxes is always better than just one.