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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • As long as russia can keep pushing forward, they won’t care about losses. Even by UAF’s own admission, they will probably be forced to abandon Avdiivka in 2 months or so at the current rate of things.

    The real important question is whether the western political climate turns for the better or worse. If Ukraine would get all the aid it needs and start pushing back, that’d be a whole different situation; but if the aid ebbs, this can turn into another finnish winter war where Russia gets away with annexing a bunch of territory.